Published:
July 25, 2025
by:
Elsja Hancock

Buying a home in Australia’s competitive property market – especially in sought-after areas like Sydney’s Sutherland Shire – requires both strategic insight and savvy negotiation. Price guides set by sellers or agents can sometimes feel like moving targets. Properties are often advertised at prices lower than what they eventually sell for, leaving buyers bewildered and frustrated. In other cases, a home might be listed at a figure higher than what the market deems fair, causing confusion about its true value. For first home buyers trying to break into the market and for upgraders aiming for their “forever home” in the $2 million-plus range, mastering price guides and negotiation tactics is essential. It can mean the difference between securing your dream property at a fair price or missing out altogether.
Today’s real estate landscape is dynamic. Interest rates climbed to 4.1% by mid-2023 – the highest level in 11 years, and this has tempered buyer demand and borrowing capacity. Yet property prices in many areas have proven resilient. Sydney’s median house price was just shy of $1.7 million in early 2025, approaching record highs. Closer to home in the Sutherland Shire, the median house price sits around $1.56–$1.65 million and, after an annual increase of roughly 4% through 2024. These figures underscore the stakes – when prices are this high, even a small percentage negotiated off the asking price can save tens of thousands of dollars.
On the flip side, market shifts have introduced new opportunities: in some Sydney districts over the past year, more than half of listings have been selling below their asking prices. Being informed about such trends gives buyers an upper hand.
In this comprehensive guide, we’ll delve into how you can confidently navigate price guides and negotiate effectively when buying property in Australia. We draw on insights from My Property Pro’s team of expert buyer’s agents (including QPIA®-certified property advisors) and the latest market data to equip you with actionable strategies. From understanding why price guides often mislead, to leveraging current market conditions in your favor, to deciding whether to buy first or sell first when upgrading – we’ve got you covered.
A price guide is the advertised price or range that a seller (and their agent) provides as an indication of what they hope the property will sell for. In theory, it’s based on recent comparable sales and market conditions. In practice, price guides can be notoriously unreliable. Some agents employ underquoting – listing a property at a deceptively low figure to drum up buyer interest, only for the final sale price to soar well above that guide. Conversely, some sellers insist on listing at an aspirational high price against their agent’s advice, which can turn off buyers if it seems disconnected from reality.
So how can you, as a buyer, see through the smoke and mirrors of price guides and determine a property’s real value? The key is to combine due diligence with local expert advice. Here are some proven tips (expanded from our article How to Navigate Price Guides) to help you stay on target:
By following these steps, you’ll be far better equipped to see through misleading price guides. Instead of anchoring on the seller’s number, you’ll have your own well-researched view of the property’s value. This confidence is crucial when it comes time to negotiate, because you can justify your offer (or your decision to walk away) with facts and recent sales evidence.
In the heated seller’s markets of years past, buyers grew accustomed to properties selling above their price guides – often well above. However, since late 2023 and into 2024, we’ve seen a new trend emerging: more properties actually selling below their initial guide prices. My Property Pro’s buyers’ agents described this shift in detail in Why More Properties Are Selling Below the Guide Price in Today’s Market – a phenomenon that was relatively rare in past years but is becoming more commonplace. In our own backyard, My Property Pro’s buyer’s agents have witnessed an “increasing number of properties selling for prices below their listed guide” over recent months. Additionally, guides are being lowered online numerous times before a property finally sells. This trend is prompting both buyers and sellers to rethink their strategies. We believe it is likely to last for the foreseeable future – at least until interest rates start to decrease or the cost of living softens.
This shift has important implications for buyers and sellers alike. What’s driving this phenomenon? Several key factors are at play:
For buyers, these trends are something of a silver lining. Less competition and more realistic pricing can create genuine opportunities. If properties are selling below their guide, it suggests buyers have regained some negotiating power. You might be able to secure a home for a price that would have seemed like a bargain a year or two ago.
It’s an advantageous time to make offers – including on homes you might have thought were out of reach. In fact, if you’ve done your research on value (as discussed above), you may find sellers considering reasonable offers that come in under the initial guide, especially if their property has been on the market for a few weeks without strong interest. Just remember: a discounted price is only good if it’s the right property. Don’t let the allure of a “deal” lure you into buying something that doesn’t truly fit your needs or has hidden issues. Due diligence is still paramount. As our team likes to advise, focus on buying the right property for the right price in the current market, not just scoring a bargain for its own sake. Engaging a knowledgeable buyer’s agent can help in this regard – we often guide clients toward high-quality assets and advise against chasing a superficially cheap deal that could turn into a money pit.
It’s worth noting that this window of increased buyer leverage may not last forever. Market conditions are cyclical. If and when interest rates start to ease or economic confidence returns strongly, competition could heat up again. For now, though, buyers have a chance to negotiate without the frenzied fear-of-missing-out (FOMO) that defined the boom times.
On the flip side, sellers need to adjust their strategy in a market where inflated price guides are meeting buyer resistance. If you’re selling, the number one rule is to be realistic. Price your property based on current market conditions, not yesterday’s peak. We’ve counseled many selling clients to resist the temptation of an over-optimistic agent quote. In fact, be wary of any selling agent who promises an unrealistically high price just to win your listing – insist they back up their appraisal with solid comparable sales data. The best agents will give you an honest price range and have a clear plan to market your property effectively at the right level.
If your home has been on the market and isn’t attracting offers, consider adjusting your expectations sooner rather than later. The data doesn’t lie – in some Sydney regions, the share of homes sold below asking price jumped by 17–18 percentage points in one year (for example, from ~33% to ~51% in the City & Inner South region from April 2023 to April 2024). That means what might have been a $1.5M sale in last year’s market could realistically be $1.35M–$1.4M today. Holding out stubbornly for last year’s price when buyers aren’t biting can lead to your property stagnating and ultimately selling for even less after months on market.
The good news is that a balanced market, where buyers can secure homes without overextending and sellers can still achieve fair value, is healthier in the long run. By aligning your price guide with market feedback, you actually increase your chances of a quicker sale. Often, the first few weeks of a campaign are when the best offers come in. If those offers are within the realm of reason, give them serious consideration. Missed opportunities can be costly. We’ve seen scenarios where sellers rejected strong early offers (say, $1.88M) only to accept a lower figure months later after the initially interested buyers moved on – a frustrating outcome that realistic pricing could have prevented.
Even in a market trending towards balance, many sellers still hold firm to inflated price expectations. In our article Navigating Seller Expectations: Insights from a Buyer’s Agent, we noted how “many sellers are holding firm to inflated price expectations, often leading to missed opportunities for both parties”. This situation can be frustrating for buyers, especially when they present strong offers supported by market data, only to see those offers rejected.
My Property Pro’s Director and buyer’s agent, Elsja Hancock, has observed this scenario firsthand. One case in point involved a property where our clients initially offered $1.83 million – a figure supported by comparable sales. The seller’s agent informed us the owner wouldn’t accept anything below $1.9 million. Wanting the property, our clients increased their offer to $1.88 million, very close to the seller’s number. Instead of meeting us in the middle, the seller raised their asking price to $2 million mid-negotiation! This kind of goalpost-shifting move understandably soured the deal. Our clients made the decision to walk away, as $2M stretched beyond the value we saw in the home. The epilogue? About a week later, the agent came back to say the seller would now accept the $1.88M offer – but by that point our buyers had secured another property. The original listing did not sell at auction and remained on the market for some time, illustrating how unrealistic expectations can backfire.
Why do otherwise rational people become so fixated on getting an unrealistically high price? Several psychological and informational factors are usually at play:
From a buyer’s perspective, encountering an unrealistic seller is tough, but there are strategies to navigate this stalemate:
The bottom line is that you can’t force a stubborn seller to see reason, but you can protect your own interests. By remaining patient, objective, and ready to act when the time is right, you increase your odds of success. While navigating these complexities can be challenging, remember that not every property will have an intransigent owner. There are plenty of realistic sellers out there, and with good preparation, you’ll be able to spot the difference. In a market where some listings remain stagnant due to inflated expectations, patience and adaptability are indeed invaluable assets.
For homeowners looking to upgrade – perhaps moving from an apartment to a house, or shifting to a more upscale neighborhood – there’s an extra layer of negotiation to master: the timing of selling your current property and buying the next.
The classic dilemma is “buy first or sell first?” The answer, however, is not one-size-fits-all and depends on multiple factors. Each approach has its own set of advantages and disadvantages, heavily influenced by market conditions, financial stability, and personal comfort with risk. Our in-depth article on this topic, Should You Buy or Sell First? Pros, Cons & Tips for a Smooth Property Transition, explores both strategies in detail. Here, we’ll summarize the key points to help you make an informed decision.
Let’s break it down into two scenarios:
Choosing to buy first means you secure your next home and then turn your attention to selling your old one. In a market like the Shire, where quality family homes can fetch well over $2 million, this approach can ensure you don’t miss out on your dream home while waiting to sell. However, you’ll need a solid game plan to mitigate the financial risks.
Pros of Buying First:
Cons of Buying First:
Negotiation Tip (Buy First): If you choose to buy first, negotiate a longer settlement on your purchase if possible. For example, a 90-day or even 120-day settlement on the new home can give you extra time to get your current property sold. During that window, prepare your home for sale and perhaps even list it while you’re in the process of closing on the new one. Coordinating with a buyer’s agent can help synchronize these timelines. Also, have a contingency plan: know how you’d manage financially if your home takes longer to sell (e.g. have savings or pre-approval for bridge financing in place).
Taking the sell first route means you put your current property on the market and secure a sale (or at least know exactly what your home will sell for), before you commit to purchasing a new property. This is generally a more conservative strategy that can de-risk the move, but it has its own challenges.
Pros of Selling First:
Cons of Selling First:
Negotiation Tip (Sell First): When selling first, try to negotiate a longer settlement on your sale or explore options like rent-back. For instance, if you can negotiate a 3-4 month settlement with your buyer, you give yourself a nice cushion to find a new home. In some cases, buyers (especially investors) might agree to let you rent your old home for a short period after settlement, giving you more time. Having a buyer’s agent can be a huge asset here – they can help line up your purchase swiftly once your sale is secured, and sometimes they can even find off-market opportunities or use creative terms to give you more flexibility.
Ultimately, the choice between buying first or selling first comes down to your personal circumstances and risk tolerance. Neither strategy is inherently “better” – each has trade-offs. To decide, consider:
No matter which path you choose, careful planning and negotiation are key. Coordinating the sale and purchase timelines can feel like a high-wire act, but many people do it successfully each year. Lean on professionals – a good buyer’s agent can actually coordinate with selling agents and possibly even find your next home faster (or negotiate terms like extended settlements) to bridge the gap. The goal is to minimize any period of double housing costs or, conversely, any time you’re without a permanent home.
In the journey to home ownership (or the next home up the ladder), knowledge and strategy are your best allies. Mastering price guides means you won’t be misled by optimistic advertising – you’ll know what a property is really worth to you based on data and expert input. And by understanding current market trends, like the recent instances of homes selling below guides, you can adjust your approach to seize opportunities and avoid pitfalls.
Equally, becoming adept at negotiation means you’ll approach offers and counter-offers with confidence, whether you’re dealing with a stubborn seller or trying to line up the sale of your old house with the purchase of your new one. Remember that negotiation isn’t just about haggling over dollars – it’s also about terms, timing, and sometimes simply knowing when to walk away to protect your interests.
Throughout this process, don’t underestimate the value of having seasoned professionals in your corner. A skilled buyer’s agent can save you time, money, and headaches by handling the legwork, providing objective advice, and even bidding or negotiating on your behalf. My Property Pro’s team, for example, consists of degree-qualified agents, an auctioneer, a Qualified Property Investment Adviser (QPIA®), a former selling agent, a data analyst and a legislative specialist – a powerhouse of expertise under one roof, ready to assist. We have helped clients secure off-market deals and avoid costly mistakes; in some cases, our negotiation strategies even resulted in purchases under budget (one selling agent remarked that our team “know how to close the deal” and ended up scoring a property for our client below their max price at auction). Leveraging such expertise can give you a significant edge in the Sydney and Sutherland Shire property market, where local knowledge and negotiation skill translate directly into value.
In summary, buying property is a big undertaking, but with the right preparation and support, you can navigate price guides with a clear head and negotiate like a pro. Stay informed, stay patient, and stay focused on the end goal – the keys to that new home in your hand. With the market knowledge and tactics outlined in this guide, you’ll be well on your way to mastering the art of buying property in Australia.
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